All autopsies

// STARTUP COMPARISON

Creditas (2022 crisis) vs LendingClub (2016 crisis)

Creditas (2022 crisis) failed in 2022 due to Unit Economics. LendingClub (2016 crisis) failed in 2016 due to Founder Chaos. Different causes, different sectors, different eras — but the same simulation outcome.

METRIC🔥 Creditas (2022 crisis)🔥 LendingClub (2016 crisis)
SectorFintechFintech
CountryBrazilUSA
Founded20122006
Died20222016
Raised$829M$1.3B
Peak$4.8B valuation$9B valuation
Primary CauseUnit EconomicsFounder Chaos

// WHY EACH FAILED

🔥 Creditas (2022 crisis)
Unit Economics
Creditas, Brazil's largest secured lending platform (home equity, auto-secured loans), raised $829M and reached a $4.8B valuation. Brazil's SELIC rate rising to 13.75% in 2022 dramatically increased Creditas's cost of capital while compressing net interest margins. The company laid off approximately 600 employees in 2022 and wrote down its internal valuation by approximately 50%, retrenching to its most profitable loan products.
// LESSON
Secured lending businesses are rate-sensitive in both directions. Low rates are a tailwind — borrow cheap, lend expensive. High rates are a headwind — borrow expensive, can't pass through to collateralized borrowers. Model the up-rate scenario before sizing the team.
🔥 LendingClub (2016 crisis)
Founder Chaos
LendingClub CEO Renaud Laplanche resigned in May 2016 after an internal review found that $22M in loans had been sold to an investor with falsified application dates, and that Laplanche had failed to disclose a personal conflict of interest. The stock fell 50% in a single day. LendingClub survived but spent years rebuilding institutional trust.
// LESSON
For marketplace lenders, loan data integrity is the product. Falsifying origination dates is not a compliance technicality — it invalidates every institutional investor's credit risk model and destroys the trust that marketplace lending is built on.

// EXPLORE FURTHER