All autopsies

// STARTUP COMPARISON

Migrante App vs Silicon Valley Bank

Migrante App failed in 2022 due to Regulation. Silicon Valley Bank failed in 2023 due to Unit Economics. Different causes, different sectors, different eras — but the same simulation outcome.

METRIC🔥 Migrante App🔥 Silicon Valley Bank
SectorFintechFintech
CountryChileUSA
Founded20191983
Died20222023
Raised$3MPublic company (SIVB)
Peak40,000 users$209B assets
Primary CauseRegulationUnit Economics

// WHY EACH FAILED

🔥 Migrante App
Regulation
Migrante App provided financial services for the growing migrant community in Chile — remittances, banking, and financial identity tools. After reaching 40,000 users, the CMF required Migrante to obtain full financial licensing to continue operating cross-border remittances. The cost of compliance exceeded the company's resources. Unable to fund the licensing process or find a licensed partner in time, Migrante shut down in 2022.
// LESSON
Cross-border remittance is a licensed activity in every serious jurisdiction. The licensing cost is not a product cost — it is a capital cost that must be funded separately from operating runway. Model it before you build the product.
🔥 Silicon Valley Bank
Unit Economics
Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in March 2023 after a bank run driven by duration mismatch. SVB had invested deposits in long-duration bonds during low-rate periods. When rates rose, those bonds lost value. SVB announced a $1.8B loss on bond sales and a capital raise — triggering a $42B bank run in 24 hours. The FDIC seized SVB on March 10, 2023 — the second-largest bank failure in US history.
// LESSON
Asset-liability duration matching is not optional for banks. Investing short-term deposits in long-term bonds is a structural bet against rising rates. SVB had $80B in long-duration bonds when the Fed began the fastest rate rise cycle in 40 years.

// EXPLORE FURTHER