// PRODUCT
Nine tools.
One workflow.
The only risk workflow built on 5,032 verified startup autopsies. From structural match to IC-ready memo — in one platform, without manual work.
// THE WORKFLOW · STEP BY STEP
- Build deal pipeline
- Describe the startup
- Get Risk Score
- Read survival curves
- Generate IC memo
- Annotate with team
- Monitor portfolio
Match any deal against every documented collapse.
Your deal is matched against 5,032+ verified autopsies across 15 structural dimensions: sector, country, funding stage, moat type and strength, hype cycle, business model, B2B/B2C, founding year, archetype, primary fatal mistake, and more — a few fields are enough, or drop a deck. The model identifies the most likely failure causes — 85.9% Top-3 accuracy (primary or secondary cause), 76.4% for the primary cause alone, validated on n=5,032 editorial autopsies. No black box — every score is traceable to specific signals.
Historical survival rates for your exact structural profile.
Kaplan-Meier survival curves built from real collapse sequences — not industry averages or analyst opinion. For your matched cohort, you get survival probability at 12, 24, and 36 months. Rates are stratified by dominant cause, so you can see whether the risk peaks early (PMF failure) or late (unit economics/scaling).
From risk match to IC-ready memo. In minutes.
Every memo includes the adversarial deck read — what the founder claims and what they omit, stress-tested against how similar companies died. Three output formats generated from your match results — each targeting a different audience. IC Memo: full risk analysis with score rationale, cause breakdown, survival interpretation, top 3 comparable collapses, DD questions, and LP-ready language. IC 1-pager: condensed executive summary for committee review. LP Note: investor-facing narrative framing the risk in portfolio context. Now includes the Full Diligence Brief — a single-click export that orchestrates risk assessment, LP narrative, DD questions, and failure analogues into one shareable PDF. Average prep time: 2 minutes vs. 3 hours manually. The 3–4 hours your analyst spends building this, automated — without sacrificing analytical rigour.
Rank your deal pipeline by survival probability.
Add companies under evaluation and score them with the same engine as Evaluate a deal — inverted. Survival score = 100 − risk score. Sort your pipeline from most structurally sound to most at-risk. Import deals directly from Airtable, Notion, or Affinity (Fund plan). CSV import and manual entry on Analyst plan. Red flag reports and targeted DD questions are generated automatically for each scored deal.
Know when a startup's risk profile shifts — before it's a problem.
Weekly or daily structural risk alerts across your full portfolio. When a company matches new historical patterns — shifted hype cycle position, new funding stage, changed business model — you get notified with the updated risk score and the specific signals that triggered the change. Only structural shifts that move the score by a meaningful threshold.
Risk analysis in your existing workflow — not a new tab.
Sync risk analysis results directly into your Notion deal rooms, Airtable portfolio trackers, Affinity CRM, Visible reports, Excel workbooks, or Google Sheets. Risk scores, cause distributions, and comparable collapses appear as structured fields — no copy-paste, no reformatting. Your existing workflow gains risk intelligence without adding tool overhead. Outbound webhooks push portfolio_score_changed events to your endpoint the moment a risk score is updated. Configure in the Developer Hub. Risk scores are also written automatically to Affinity fields and Notion database properties — no manual sync needed.
Deal memos and red flags — pinned to the analysis, visible to your whole team.
Every shared risk analysis has a team annotations panel. Analysts add investment committee notes, flag due-diligence issues, or record follow-up questions directly on the analysis. All team members see the same thread, in context. No Slack thread to lose, no comment buried in a spreadsheet.
News and events for every portfolio company — automatically surfaced every morning.
UnicornBurn scans the web daily for every company in your portfolio and surfaces categorised signals — funding rounds, leadership changes, regulatory actions, competitive moves, product launches — directly in your feed. No manual searches, no missed signals.
Embed failure intelligence directly into your investment stack.
A REST API that makes our autopsy database a structured data layer for your existing infrastructure. Pull failure data into proprietary scoring models, fund management systems, or research pipelines — without rebuilding what you already have. Filter across sector, collapse style, hype cycle phase, moat type, geography, funding stage, business model, and timeline events. Paginated JSON responses, no SDK required. Rate limits scale with your plan; full 5,032-autopsy dataset on Fund tier.
// VALIDATED ACCURACY
// COMMON QUESTIONS
Before you start.
What's included in the free risk match?
One full deal evaluation, no credit card, in about 30 seconds: a 0–100 risk score, the Top-3 most likely failure causes with their distribution, and your closest documented collapse. You only create an account when you want IC memos, deal scouting, or portfolio monitoring.
How long does an IC memo take?
About two minutes, versus the three to four hours an analyst spends building one manually. From a single risk match you get three formats — full IC memo, IC 1-pager, and an LP-facing note — plus a one-click Full Diligence Brief, all exportable as PDF.
Do I need to connect my data to start?
No. A few structural fields — or a pitch deck — are enough to run an evaluation. When you're ready, native integrations sync results into Notion, Airtable, Affinity, Visible, Excel, or Google Sheets, and outbound webhooks push score changes to your own systems.
How is this different from CB Insights or PitchBook?
Those platforms map outcomes and market data. UnicornBurn maps structural precedent: it matches your deal against 5,032 documented failures and shows which collapse patterns it resembles, with published cause-match accuracy (85.9% Top-3). It complements market data — it doesn't replace it.
// GET STARTED
Every deal deserves a structural stress-test.
1 free risk match, no card — in 30 seconds. The full platform (IC memos, deal scouting, portfolio signals) includes a 7-day trial.